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福州市古树健康风险评估技术研究

Research on health risk assessment techniques for ancient trees in Fuzhou City

  • 摘要: 古树对于研究树木生理、维护生物多样性和生态系统平衡具有重要作用。为了评估其健康风险,本研究构建了包括树体、根颈、环境和干扰4 个准则层,及主干倾斜、根系损伤、病虫害等21项评价指标的古树健康风险评估模型,并采用层次分析法确定各指标的权重。通过对福州市100 株古树进行4 个季度的实地调查验证,发现权重较高的指标包括铺装堆埋(0.125 8)、根系损伤(0.090 7)、病虫害(0.083 0)等。铺装堆埋是影响古树健康的最大风险,实地调查发现,存在铺装堆埋情况的占25%,包括树池铺设水泥硬化、根部填埋建筑垃圾等;存在病虫害情况的达24%,以白蚁、红蜘蛛等虫害,和白粉病、根腐病等病害为主;存在根系损伤情况的占15%。同时,季节变化对古树健康影响显著,春季新叶萌发期的虫害较为活跃,夏季高温高湿环境易引发真菌病害。经检验,本研究构建的评估模型适用性较强,可为今后古树的科学管理提供有效支撑。

     

    Abstract: Ancient trees, often regarded as green national treasures, represent irreplaceable resources for studies of tree physiology and for the preservation of biodiversity and ecosystem stability. To evaluate the health risks associated with ancient tree resources, a comprehensive health risk assessment model was developed consisting of four criterion layers (tree structure, root and root collar, surrounding environment, and anthropogenic disturbance) and 21 specific evaluation indices, including trunk inclination, root damage, and pest and disease occurrence. Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was applied to quantify weights for all criterion layers and indicators. Model performance and practical validity were examined through a year-long, quarterly field survey of 100 ancient trees in Fuzhou City. Weight analysis indicated that pavement burial (0.125 8), root damage (0.090 7), and pests and diseases (0.083 0) represented the most influential risk factors. Pavement burial emerged as the dominant threat to tree health and was observed in 25% of surveyed cases, primarily involving cement hardening of tree pits and infilling of root zones with construction waste. Pests and diseases accounted for 24% of cases, with termites, red spiders, powdery mildew, and root rot frequently detected, while root system damage was recorded in 15% of cases. Clear seasonal effects were observed, with insect activity peaking during spring leaf emergence and fungal diseases impacted by high temperature and humidity conditions in summer. Field validation demonstrated strong feasibility and applicability of the proposed assessment framework. This empirically tested model provides a practical technical system for scientific management of ancient tree health and supports evidence-based conservation strategies. Effective daily management should prioritize protection of tree bases, root collars, and root systems to mitigate dominant health risks and enhance long-term survival of ancient tree resources.

     

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