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丹江口库区果园生草意愿调查及影响因素分析

A survey on orchard cover cropping willingness and analysis of influencing factors in the Danjiangkou reservoir area

  • 摘要: 为探讨丹江口库区果农采纳果园生草技术的意愿及其影响机制,本研究于2025年1-6月在丹江口库区6个乡镇对216名果农开展问卷调查,涵盖个体特征、果园条件、技术认知、政策与服务等信息。结果显示,48.1%的果农表示愿意生草,22.2%可转化,29.6%不愿生草。Logistic回归分析结果表明,立地条件、生草认知、政策知晓、技术支持和劳动力人数对采纳意愿具有显著正向影响。进一步构建结构方程模型,发现政策与技术支持通过提升果农认知、改善管理意愿可以间接促进生草采纳,模型拟合良好(R2=0.401,Goodness of fit=0.523)。主要制约因素包括管理风险(35.3%)、割草成本(28.0%)及病虫害担忧(21.7%)。综上,建议相关部门加强示范与培训,推广优质草种与“生草+畜禽”模式,完善财政补贴和技术托管,并结合立地条件制定分区推广策略,将果园生草纳入水源地生态保护与绿色农业发展体系。

     

    Abstract: The willingness to adopt orchard cover cropping in the Danjiangkou Reservoir area, as well as its influencing mechanisms, was evaluated through a structured questionnaire survey conducted from January to June 2025 across six townships involving 216 fruit growers. Data encompassed farmer characteristics, orchard site conditions, technical cognition, policy awareness, and service support. Results indicated that 48.1% of respondents expressed clear willingness to implement cover cropping, 22.2% exhibited conditional acceptance, and 29.6% reported unwillingness. Logistic regression identified site conditions, cover-cropping awareness, policy awareness, technical support, and household labor availability as significant positive determinants of adoption willingness. Structural equation modeling further demonstrated that policy and technical support exerted indirect effects on adoption by strengthening awareness and enhancing management willingness, with good model fit (R2=0.401, Goodness-of-fit=0.523). Primary barriers included perceived management risk (35.3%), mowing costs (28.0%), and concerns regarding pests and diseases (21.7%). These findings highlight the importance of coordinated extension strategies, including expanded field demonstrations and targeted training, promotion of high-quality grass species and integrated “cover cropping+livestock” systems, strengthened financial incentives and technical trusteeship, and development of site-specific implementation pathways. Integration of orchard cover cropping into regional ecological protection frameworks and green agricultural development initiatives is essential for advancing sustainable production in the reservoir catchment.

     

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